The discussion which follows assumes Donald Trump has weathered the Storm(y), survived the wrath of God Mueller and protected by his Republican guardian angels in both Houses.
How likely is it for Donald Trump to win a second term?
All the factors to ensure re-election of the incumbent are present in the current political state; put differently, it seems possible that Donald Trump could be re-elected. It seems possible, that’s all.
There are as many salient factors which can prevent his re-election: